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Wellington earthquake scenarios and seismic design

Published: 2 February 2026

This project brings together three strands of work relating to earthquake risk models as decision making tools:

  1. A state-of-the-art synthesis of existing data and models for Wellington's seismic risk
  2. A transparent method for selecting a small number of representative earthquake scenarios for regional risk simulation
  3. An evidence-based discussion of fatality risk tolerance thresholds that can inform building code provisions and broader policy.